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Tuesday, 17 June 2014

Tough Steps ahead for Fast-Track Economic Development: Modi

15 tough steps PM Narendra Modi could announce



Fuel subsidy reforms
Strong chance: Diesel subsidy will soon be phased out; a monthly increase mechanism for LPG and kerosene may come.

Food Bill recast 
Likely: The scope of the food security bill could be scaled down to target only the poor.

Fertiliser subsidy rationalisation 
Some price reform: Food security needs require higher use of fertilisers. Some rationalisation of urea prices likely.

Fiscal consolidation 
Likely to continue: Staying with fi scal consolidation road map will enhance credibility of the new government.

New taxes or higher rates 
Not likely: It could dampen corporate and consumer sentiment that is on a high.

Spending curbs 
Focus on revenue deficit: Gujarat govt under Modi gave special emphasis on maintaining revenue surplus.

PSU bank mergers 
Likely: PSU banks could be merged to create bigger ones.

Amendment to Land Bill 
Likely to be reworked: Infrastructure development and industrialisation will suffer if it is not reworked.

Labour reforms 
Announcement likely: Rajasthan govt has already tested ground with some measures.

Railway fare increase 
Very likely: Railways high on Modi's agenda. Its revival needs steady rise in fares.

Slower MSP increases 
Strong chance: Food subsidy bill and inflation management require slower increase in support prices for crops.

PSU reforms 
Top priority: PSUs likely to get greater powers, those on the brink may be shuttered.

Food Corp & CIL recast 
Strong chance: Coal India has failed to keep pace with demand, and FCI's inefficiencies add to the food subsidy.

Rejig in tax slabs or higher exemption rate 
At most, minimal relief: Fiscal consolidation does not give much room for personal income-tax relief.

Recast of NREGA 
Will see a radical revamp: It has many adverse effects and requires to be fixed.




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